EPIDEMIOLOGY

 

The screening procedures currently accepted today are mammography and the PAP (Papanicolau) test for the prevention of cervical cancer (carcinoma).

However atherosclerotic based cardiovascular diseases (myocardial infarction and stroke) represent the first cause of mortality and morbidity in the population of industrialised countries.

The mortality rate for coronary artery disease alone is greater than that of all the types of cancer added together.

There is a growing interest concerning the possibility of identifying and treating patients at risk and the atherosclerotic plaques can increase progress made in fighting against atherosclerotic, coronary and peripheral vascular diseases.

Innovations in medical therapy (statins, ACE inhibitors, omega-3 fatty acids and new cardiological intervention therapy treatments, such as medicated stents, have considerably reduced mortality and morbidity caused by atherosclerotic coronary-artery diseases..

In spite of this, I am not aware that there exists a detailed prevention program for atherosclerotic disease in preclinical phase in Europe and in the USA.

Only in U.K., the Department of Health recognised the importance of developing better stroke services for Older People, launched in March 2001.

Following on from this, the U.K. Government has launched, in the year 2007, a national stroke strategy to modernise service provision and deliver the newest treatments for stroke. The Government's target which aims to reduce the death rate from Stroke, CHD and related diseases in people under 75 by at least 40% by 2010 has already been achieved.

In the USA there are approximately 930,000 deaths per year caused by atherosclerosis.

 In Europe a total of 1,2 million deaths occur from myocardial infarction.

In Italy there are 360.000 cases of acute coronary syndrome and 50000 cases of sudden death.

The total number of deaths per year from stroke in Italy results as 29.500 Males and 42.850 Females.

 According to ISTAT figures, in 2002, in Italy deaths were classified as follows: in first position 237.198 deaths from cardiovascular diseases and in second position 163.070 from cancer, respectively equal to 42,3 and 29,1% of total deaths. In addition, once again according to ISTAT figures, in 2004, cardiovascular diseases were the primary cause for hospital admission, followed by neoplastic diseases in third position.

In fact 1.413.082 patients were released with circulatory system pathologies with an annual consumption of drugs equal to 48,6% of the total. Patients released diagnosed with cancer diseases numbered 761.582, with a drug consumption equal to 0,7% of the tof the total consumption..

Cardiovascular diseases in women deserve particular attention.

Current attention paid to breast cancer in women tends to draw attention away from the greatest life-threatening danger for middle aged women which is cardiovascular diseases.

Women have paid a high price as far as cardiovascular diseases are concerned in terms of delayed diagnosis, inadequate therapy when compared to the male population, such as failure to administer thrombolytic drugs for example.

According to certain studies this has led to higher mortality and morbidity levels in women suffering from acute myocardial infarction.

The reasons that have focussed major attention on men, is the fact that they generally begin to suffer at a younger age, around 50 years of age, while women tend to be affected 10 or 20 years later.

At 60 years of age, a woman has the same probabilities of contracting a cardiovascular disease as a 50 year old man.

In the USA 1 out of 5 women suffer from some form of cardiovascular disease or predisposing risk factors.

At 65, 1 out of 3 women will possibly develop a cardiovascular disease.

-  One third of all deaths of American women every year are attributed to heart disease.

 - Heart disease kills more women every year, compared to all the various forms of cancer, accidents, and diabetes combined together.           

            - All the forms of cardiovascular disease are responsible for the death of 480.000 women and 450.000 men every year.

            - Strokes account for 97.000 deaths in women every year.

            - Myocardial infarction is responsible for 244.000 deaths among women every year.

 

Approximately 6.3 million American women have a clinical history of myocardial infarction, angina or both.

 

In Italy, according to ISTAT figures collected in 2002, for the age group between 55 and 75 years of age, cardiovascular diseases are responsible for the death of approximately 29.616 men and 15.560 women, equal to 30,7 and 28,3%. Over the age of 75, cardiovascular mortality in women increases considerably: 114.000 cases compared to 70.800 men, equal to 53.8 and 45, 6%, respectively.

 

Fortunately, the medical profession is focussing far closer atten**tion on risks of coronary artery disease in women, so that they are less inclined to attribute chest pains to anxiety or non-cardiac problems.

For their part, women should be far better informed concerning the risks of cardiovascular diseases and should not limit health check-ups simply to an annual gynaecologist’s visit.

Inoltre, dopo la terapia efficace tramite angioplastica coronarica di una lesione iniziale (PTCA) il rischio di eventi coronarici dovuto a nuove lesioni è 10% nell'anno seguente e 5% anno per i successivi 4 anni.

 Moreover, following efficacious therapy on an initial lesion (PTCA) with coronary angioplasty procedure, the risk of a coronary event caused by new lesions result as 10% the following year and only 5% for the following 4 years after that.

Current attention paid to breast cancer in women tends to discount the greatest life-threatening danger for middle aged women which is cardiovascular diseases.

Ideal screening should be non-invasive, low cost, easily and widely available and cost-efficient.

 It should be highly specific and show results that are statistically better compared to control group results, respecting health cost criteria based on cost-efficient concepts.

In 1968, Wilson and Junger established the criteria for screening:

•  The gravity of the disease must be sufficient;

•  The disease must be diagnosed during the preclinical phase;

•  An efficient test must exist for disease diagnosis;

•  An efficacious treatment must exist.

The American guidelines ATPIII (National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III) recently established that over a ten-year period, individuals with low, moderate or high coronary artery disease(CAD) risk levels are those that have less than 6%, between 6% and 20% and more than 20% probability, respectively.

Even though the effort stress ECG, stress echocardiogram, and the myocardial scintigraphy with radionuclides are all valid instruments for symptomatic patients, or those with recognised coronary artery disease, they do not have favourable cost-efficiency ratios for asymptomatic patients with or without risk factors.

Most acute ischemic events occur because of a rupture of a coronary plaque, which are not significant from a hemodynamic viewpoint, and this explains the low predictive value of these tests in identifying asymptomatic patients at risk who may be in danger of acute myocardial infarction or sudden death, in spite of the negative results obtained through a stress tests.

Other screening tests, such as Coronary Calcification measurement using cardiac CT or carotid intima media thickness and carotid plaques with ultrasound, are available and more capable than other tests in demonstrating direct evidence of the presence and the extension of the Atherosclerosis.

 Both these imaging methods provide information that have proved their prognostic value in relation to future risks heart attacks and strokes.

If the criteria of the new ATPIII guidelines are adopted for major cardiac event prevention, the costs for years of life quality saved vary between 25.000 and 35.000€. 

In addition, it should be remembered that studies for the prevention of Atherosclerosis have demonstrated a considerable reduction in major cardiac events after 5 years therapy with statins, equal to 37% in the AFCAPS/TextCAPS study using lovastatin and 38% in HPS, using simvastatin.

However, if less selective criteria are adopted, the costs for therapy using statins only can rise to 1000 € per patient per year.

 The cost for treating 26 million people has been estimated at being 26 billion €.

However, while the ATPIII guidelines are reasonably efficient in identifying the people at high risk, it is also true that more than half the patients who suffer a sudden cardiac arrest or myocardial infarction presented a low or moderate cardiovascular risk before the event occurred.

Many individuals with severe atherosclerosis are unaware of their risk because they show no signs of symptoms.

In 30-50% of these individuals, sudden death or myocardial infarction are the first signs of the disease.

Although efficacious therapies exist able to reduce the risk of heart attack and sudden death, these people are not able to benefit because their disease is not recognisable (asymptomatic) or because they were not recognised as being in high risk categories by current guidelines.

 In addition, the guidelines tend to underestimate the risk of disease in young adults.

Limitations of the NCEP III scheme have been described by others. Akosah et al. found that 75% of 222 asymptomatic young to middle-aged adults (men < 55 years, women < 65 years) presenting with their first myocardial infarction would not have been considered candidates for statin therapy.

In fact, when the 10-year risk for major cardiac events was calculated according to the number of risk factors and to the LDL Cholesterol levels, only 25% of the Males and 18% of the Females presented the correct criteria for treatment. 

Those patients who showed signs of a moderate cardiovascular risk, calculated according to the Framingham method, in other words, between 6 and 20%, are those for whom therapeutic decisions are most difficult.

More intensive diagnosis using non-invasive studies is very useful for this category.

It is for this reason that the new cardiovascular risk assessment through a search for coronary and carotid atherosclerotic lesions can provide precious information.

Determining the entity of coronary-artery calcification does not require a great deal of preparation, and lasts only 15 minutes.

The lack of calcification in patients about 50 years of age can identify a group at low future event risk for the following 2-5 years.

A 2-year predictive period is accurate to almost 100%. Medical therapy in these patients can be avoided or delayed, with considerable savings for the National Health System.