SURVIVAL ACCORDING TO THE CALCIUM SCORE

These results were confirmed by an important epidemiological study conducted on a range of 10377 asymptomatic patients, 40% female, with an average age of 53 + 0,102 who underwent Coronary Calcification research studies using EBCT, and who presented two or more risk factors.

I Patients with risk factors were prevalent: family history of coronary-artery disease (69%), hypercholesterolemia (62%), hypertension (44%), smoking (40%), diabetes (9%).

La The Agatston method was used to determine results.

57% of the patients had a scores of < 10.

Prevalent scores were 11-100, 101-400, 401-1000 and > 1000 were 20%, 14%, 6% and 3%, respectively.

The average score was 133 + 0,9 with values ranging between 12 and 1070 for Males in an age group between 40 and 80 years old.
For the women in the same age group, results varied between 7 and 291, and such a difference between the two sexes results as highly significant.

Coronary calcium is an independent and statistically high significant death risk indicator (p<0.001).

 The relatively correct risk for greater risk factors was 1,64 / 1,74 / 2,54 / 4,03 respectively for score values of 11-100, 101-400, 401-1000 and over 1000.

When the CSI values were compared with the Framingham model to calculate the risk of death or myocardial infarction within 10 years, the CSI values demonstrated greater predictive value.

 A multivariable model was used according to CSI values to predict mortality within 5 years in relation to the various risk categories according to the Framingham model.

For low-risk patients, mortality risk within 5 years varied between 0,9 and 3,9% for CSI values less than 10 and greater than 1000, respectively.

 For moderate -risk patients, mortality risk within 5 years varied between 1.1% and 9% for CSI values less than 10 and greater than 1000, respectively.

For high-risk patients, mortality risk within 5 years varied between 2% and 12% for CSI values less than 10 and greater than 1000, respectively. (Leslee J. Shaw, PhD Paolo Raggi, Radiology 2003; 228:826?833).

All the causes of mortality within 5 years in relation to Clinical characteristics and the Calcium Score values of the study population.

According to studies conducted by A. Beker e Coll. (Am Heart J 2008.), in a population of asymptomatic patients, independent of coronary risk factors, patients with a future risk of myocardial infarction cardiac death can be identified through Coronary-artery Calcification determination. Similarly, future major cardiac events can be excluded in patients where Coronary-artery Calcification could be excluded. In fact patients with a calcium score over 75° percentile present 11% of major cardiac events per year. On the other hand, those with a calcium score of 0 present only 0,7% of major cardiac events per year (cardiac revascularization events (CR) Myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac death (CD)).

   Tab. Frequency of cardiac revascularization events (CR) Myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac death (CD) in all patients, in patients with a 0 Agatston score, and in patients with an Agatston score over 75 percentile

(Beker et Al. American Heart Journal
Volume 155, Number 1, 2008;155:154-60)

 

Initially assessments were obtained with greater precision using EBCT(Electron Beam Computer Tomography).

 At present multi-row- detector- computer assisted tomography (16-320-slice MDCT) can be used with excellent results both for performing contrast-enhanced CT Coronary Angiography(CTA) as well as for calcium score index determination.

This provides an excellent correlation with the calcium score determinations performed using EBCT techniques, but less moving artefacts.

Tests performed with ECG multiple detectors and retrospective synchronisation, present less inter-test variability, if compared with EBCT studies.

In many studies, Coronary Angiography using CT methods has demonstrated a negative predictive value of 96-98% and a positive value of 59-85%.

In spite of the fact that it is a method that is still under experimentation, with the new 64-320 slice multi-detector row CT it is possible to identify fibrous as well as calcified plaques.

 The patient is exposed to very low radiation levels and this varies between 1mS to assess the calcium score and 9 mS. for contrast-enhanced CT Coronary Angiography (CTA).

 New equipment is specifically designed to reduce patient exposure to X-rays.